Books-
Spread 1326
Totals 296
Bets- Fognini -3 -110 over Darcis
Friday, May 18, 2012
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Tennis 5/18
So books -
Spread: 1126
Totals: 296
Bets:
Gasquet +5 against Ferrer -114
It feels really good to just have a plain winning day, after the month we've been having. We had considered wawrinka -4 over Seppi, glad we didn't take it, would have been a loss (also Djok -5 over Monaco, which pushed).
With how well we did last month, its natural to feel like we're unstoppable, and we fell into that trap. We took picks we were on the fence about in our pride, and we've paid for it. Learning to ride the highs and the lows is something I'm glad we're going through on paper, but hopefully we have learned to keep ourselves distant enough to take nothing when there's nothing there, and 4 picks when there are 4 picks there.
Spread: 1126
Totals: 296
Bets:
Gasquet +5 against Ferrer -114
It feels really good to just have a plain winning day, after the month we've been having. We had considered wawrinka -4 over Seppi, glad we didn't take it, would have been a loss (also Djok -5 over Monaco, which pushed).
With how well we did last month, its natural to feel like we're unstoppable, and we fell into that trap. We took picks we were on the fence about in our pride, and we've paid for it. Learning to ride the highs and the lows is something I'm glad we're going through on paper, but hopefully we have learned to keep ourselves distant enough to take nothing when there's nothing there, and 4 picks when there are 4 picks there.
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Tennis 5/16
berdych -3 over almagro -106
I know books need to be updated... they're in the range of 900/300 spread and totals respective.
I know books need to be updated... they're in the range of 900/300 spread and totals respective.
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Friday, May 11, 2012
Tennis 5/11
And down we go (1-2). April was amazing but May has been killer.
Books:
Spread - 946
Totals - what it was
Play today is Djokovic/Tipsarevic < 20.5. The line is djok -5 but this is more like djok -3.5 unless there are 7-game sets. You always get a little extra with the under because of that but you're getting quite a lot here. And we think Djok can do a break a set here.
Books:
Spread - 946
Totals - what it was
Play today is Djokovic/Tipsarevic < 20.5. The line is djok -5 but this is more like djok -3.5 unless there are 7-game sets. You always get a little extra with the under because of that but you're getting quite a lot here. And we think Djok can do a break a set here.
Tuesday, May 8, 2012
Tennis 5/9 - edit 5/10
Ow.
Spread: 1214
Totals: 536
Bets are -
berdych -3.5 over monfils -120
simon -2.5 over tips -125
djokovic -4 over wawrinka -109
Spread: 1214
Totals: 536
Bets are -
berdych -3.5 over monfils -120
simon -2.5 over tips -125
djokovic -4 over wawrinka -109
Sunday, May 6, 2012
Tennis 5-7 & 5-8
Rough loss, think we did take it below -3 so using -120 juice.
Books:
Spread:1838
Totals:536
Bets -
5-7
youzhny over marti -4.5 -114
baghdatis -1.5 over garcia-lopez +114
5-8
400 gasquet -1.5 over bellucci -104
EDIT: also ramos -3.5 over delbonis -104
200 on each unless otherwise noted ofc. Can you believe this, lines a day in advance? Crazy.
EDIT: So its a true push with Youzhny winning and another loss (at least no juice) on Baghdatis. Man he's been godawful to us this month, 0-2 and the others we had considered he would have lost. Time to put the hammer down on all this considering of Baghdatis as a pick, when he should be a fade the way he's playing. We're adapting too slowly.
Books:
Spread:1838
Totals:536
Bets -
5-7
youzhny over marti -4.5 -114
baghdatis -1.5 over garcia-lopez +114
5-8
400 gasquet -1.5 over bellucci -104
EDIT: also ramos -3.5 over delbonis -104
200 on each unless otherwise noted ofc. Can you believe this, lines a day in advance? Crazy.
EDIT: So its a true push with Youzhny winning and another loss (at least no juice) on Baghdatis. Man he's been godawful to us this month, 0-2 and the others we had considered he would have lost. Time to put the hammer down on all this considering of Baghdatis as a pick, when he should be a fade the way he's playing. We're adapting too slowly.
Friday, May 4, 2012
Tennis 5/5
2-0 for the day. Dat Andujar line... we shoulda made it a lock, it jumped out to both of us.
Very happy to be back in the black for the tournament week (7-5 so far, Note to self for future calculations 5-5 in May so far).
Books:
Spread: 2318
Totals: 536
OK so. The play is
400 Gasquet -? -?
The line right now is -3 -103, but I coulda swore when we settled on it it was 2.5, and that was a factor in making it a lock. So professional here... We'll see if dad remembers, and set the juice at -120 as a penalty if he remembers it -2.5, regardless of outcome. Otherwise its taken -3 -103, still as a lock.
Very happy to be back in the black for the tournament week (7-5 so far, Note to self for future calculations 5-5 in May so far).
Books:
Spread: 2318
Totals: 536
OK so. The play is
400 Gasquet -? -?
The line right now is -3 -103, but I coulda swore when we settled on it it was 2.5, and that was a factor in making it a lock. So professional here... We'll see if dad remembers, and set the juice at -120 as a penalty if he remembers it -2.5, regardless of outcome. Otherwise its taken -3 -103, still as a lock.
Thursday, May 3, 2012
Tennis 5/4
0-1 w a postponement. EDIT 1-1, ATP website derped but neiminen had won and covered.
Todays are
andujar -3 -104 over rosol
lopez -2.5 -108 over tomic
Oh we're starting a fucking around book, money line. We experimented earlier with money line in tennis and took a loss, and in football were not impressed with the small win we had given the risks. So this is purely for fun. Bets here will be 100 on dogs and to win 100 on favs... and if you look at some of the numbers you'll understand why the units are smaller, and why this is a fuck-around book. With my expected bankroll size, actually playing these would mean putting down over 30% of bankroll on gasquet for a big 2.5% profit. Sure, it's a "sure thing" but real money? Yea right. Anyway, bets here -
kohlschrieber even up -440
gasquet over de la nava -1300
bagh +175 x2
Todays are
andujar -3 -104 over rosol
lopez -2.5 -108 over tomic
Oh we're starting a fucking around book, money line. We experimented earlier with money line in tennis and took a loss, and in football were not impressed with the small win we had given the risks. So this is purely for fun. Bets here will be 100 on dogs and to win 100 on favs... and if you look at some of the numbers you'll understand why the units are smaller, and why this is a fuck-around book. With my expected bankroll size, actually playing these would mean putting down over 30% of bankroll on gasquet for a big 2.5% profit. Sure, it's a "sure thing" but real money? Yea right. Anyway, bets here -
kohlschrieber even up -440
gasquet over de la nava -1300
bagh +175 x2
Wednesday, May 2, 2012
Tennis 5-3
Ouch, 1-2 again. Going to watch Baghdatis as a possible fade if he keeps having sets like that.
Books (4k bankroll, both in the black)-
Spread: 1950
Totals: 536
Bets (200 on)-
lopez -4 over stakhovsky -116
nieminen -2.5 over veic -116
Books (4k bankroll, both in the black)-
Spread: 1950
Totals: 536
Bets (200 on)-
lopez -4 over stakhovsky -116
nieminen -2.5 over veic -116
Tuesday, May 1, 2012
Tennis 5/2
Tough day (1-2). Shoulda gotten away from Gimeno-Traver - he hadn't done anything recently. Was able to get away from a Davydenko play for the same reason, that woulda been disastrous at -145.
Books (4k bankroll, both in black)-
Spread: 2210
Totals: 536
Gonna be-
baghdatis -4 over brown -112
cipolla -3 v munoz de la nava -118
nalbandian -4.5 v bedene -108
200 ofc.
Books (4k bankroll, both in black)-
Spread: 2210
Totals: 536
Gonna be-
baghdatis -4 over brown -112
cipolla -3 v munoz de la nava -118
nalbandian -4.5 v bedene -108
200 ofc.
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