200 djokovic -4 over berdych -113
200 nadal/simon < 19 -117
Its tough to bet on both semis, this deep in the tournament. You have to wonder in a spot like this if you're trying to push past an average performance so far (5-4-1) and bound to turn your small gain into a loss.
But I can't really get away from it. Djok is 8-1 against Berdych, only loss on grass. His 6-4 6-2 today is slightly underwhelming for him considering his opponent, but he pointed to his emotions following his grandfather's death as part of the trouble and I believe it. I also think he's going to get it under control and go win one for the gipper. This is a tough line for the books to make, they're pretty pinned into Djok -4 since it seems the most likely result, but I see 5 as more likely than 3 here. I know you got a server like Berdych who sees a ton of tiebreakers, but here on clay....
As for the under w/ nadal, Simon just doesn't have the weapons to hurt Nadal on clay at all. He's not going to outrally him, no one can, and that's Simon's game. I'm taking the under because it's hard to see Simon winning a set, and in 2 sets the under's a better bet than -5.5 cause 6-4 6-3 a push and not a loss. Also saves a few juice and I sorely need that here, laying out nearly -120 on both these. Can't get away from em though.
Books-
spread: +1370
Totals: +536
Set: +174
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