Playoff Book (-100)
400 Giants +10 and Pats pick'em -140 (tease)
Giants/Niners being as close to call as it is, you let me get 10 points in a teaser against the weaker offense, going to do it all day. But a few reasons I think the giants at least even money to win here:
-Niners got gifted some against saints, as excellent at causing turnovers as they are.
-Niners get a lot of picks jumping routes. Eli likes to throw deep balls if he can force single coverage, that are actually rather difficult to pick and not something the niners have had to defend against much this year. They split with the cardinals, the other team that comes to mind that likes these passes.
-Giants pass rush plays a bigger role here - Smith has really struggled against good pass rushes.
There are plenty of great things to be said about both, but those last two points make me think its a good stylistic matchup. That said, the rain favors the 9ers.
Pats pick 'em
-I know bal's tougher competition than their sched this year, but what hasn't been talked about is how few elite passing teams baltimore's faced this year (and the chargers stomped em).
-The patriots defense has been consistently underrated and they're playing good now, though most don't believe it. They say pats played so well last week because it was the broncos. There's truth there, but damnit if that asshole bellicheck didn't light a fire. You could tell the difference was more than just Broncos.
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