Friday, December 2, 2011

Last notepad

ne - 13 + den/min < 44.5, 1 unit for now. feel phenomenal about it, only thing better would be gb -6.5 if no bradshaw. waiting on oakland line movement, still like den +2 better than oak +3 but dad lacking testicular fortitude to trust den.

so can see several forms bets'll take this week, maybe 400 tease, 200 oak, 200 den, if bradshaw. maybe gb still makes it on. if no bradshaw, 400 gb, 200 tease, 200 oak/den.

For anyone wondering, minnesota hit really hard with injuries, ponder had been hooking up with mike jenkins, he and several other players put (prematurely, in a give-up move, imo) on IR last week, and now that AP has been ruled out, the side and the under both look great. I'm on the under, 'cause it's really hard to see min putting up many in this situation against this denver d.

Looks like von miller will play, it's not for sure, so I don't blame you for waiting, but I'm shocked the total and sides haven't moved yet with AP being ruled out today.

And I mean the new england bet ... it's a home game, a night game, bitter rival whose now near the very bottom, so they should want to bring the pain (not that it would be out of character for them to bring the pain otherwise).

I tend to think painter better than orlovsky, as bad as both choices are, their defensive coordinator was fired and moves like those don't help short-term, I believe. I do think addai's return helps them, and was considering them at +28, but ultimately think NE -13 is the better bet, esp. w qb change.

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